Cross-country comparison over absolute dates⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Cross-country comparison with approximately aligned start days⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Per-country analysis with exponential and sigmoidal projections, and new cases analysis⮸
IMPORTANT: The projections are only accurate if the fit is good (it often isn't), and assuming nothing changes
going forward. The sigmoid is omitted if a reasonable fit can't be computed, but this still doesn't mean that
the fit is good if it is shown.
The dashed lines show best fit projections from a few previous days for comparison.
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $43,120$ on 2020-06-07
Best fit exponential: \(4.98 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.012t}\) (doubling rate \(25.6\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{39,452.4}{1 + 10^{-0.046 (t - 44.4)}}\) (asimptote \(39,452.4\))
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $3,621$ on 2020-06-07
Best fit exponential: \(206 \times 10^{0.016t}\) (doubling rate \(19.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{3,730.7}{1 + 10^{-0.046 (t - 56.4)}}\) (asimptote \(3,730.7\))
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $18,479$ on 2020-06-07
Start date 2020-03-17 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $691,758$ on 2020-06-07
Best fit exponential: \(8.08 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.024t}\) (doubling rate \(12.8\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{1,532,732.5}{1 + 10^{-0.030 (t - 85.8)}}\) (asimptote \(1,532,732.5\))
Start date 2020-03-22 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $36,455$ on 2020-06-07
Best fit exponential: \(970 \times 10^{0.021t}\) (doubling rate \(14.5\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{51,368.6}{1 + 10^{-0.034 (t - 66.8)}}\) (asimptote \(51,368.6\))
Start date 2020-03-17 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $371,351$ on 2020-06-07
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $196,515$ on 2020-06-07
Best fit exponential: \(4.26 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.020t}\) (doubling rate \(15.2\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{286,796.3}{1 + 10^{-0.031 (t - 75.6)}}\) (asimptote \(286,796.3\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $5,465$ on 2020-06-07
Best fit exponential: \(174 \times 10^{0.020t}\) (doubling rate \(15.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{7,038.7}{1 + 10^{-0.034 (t - 64.5)}}\) (asimptote \(7,038.7\))
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $104,831$ on 2020-06-07
Start date 2020-03-11 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $134,150$ on 2020-06-07
Best fit exponential: \(1.12 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.024t}\) (doubling rate \(12.8\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{394,812.1}{1 + 10^{-0.028 (t - 98.9)}}\) (asimptote \(394,812.1\))
Start date 2020-03-23 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $1,637$ on 2020-06-07
Best fit exponential: \(20.2 \times 10^{0.025t}\) (doubling rate \(12.2\) days)
Start date 2020-03-11 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $24,363$ on 2020-06-07
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $13,643$ on 2020-06-07
Best fit exponential: \(93.3 \times 10^{0.027t}\) (doubling rate \(11.2\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{34,825.0}{1 + 10^{-0.034 (t - 87.1)}}\) (asimptote \(34,825.0\))
Start date 2020-03-30 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $465$ on 2020-06-07
Best fit exponential: \(13.6 \times 10^{0.022t}\) (doubling rate \(13.6\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{1,344.0}{1 + 10^{-0.027 (t - 80.5)}}\) (asimptote \(1,344.0\))
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $11,092$ on 2020-06-07
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $38,149$ on 2020-06-07
Best fit exponential: \(799 \times 10^{0.020t}\) (doubling rate \(15.0\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{125,061.7}{1 + 10^{-0.024 (t - 99.5)}}\) (asimptote \(125,061.7\))
Start date 2020-03-26 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $1,265$ on 2020-06-07
Best fit exponential: \(66 \times 10^{0.017t}\) (doubling rate \(17.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{2,802.6}{1 + 10^{-0.022 (t - 79.7)}}\) (asimptote \(2,802.6\))
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $22,470$ on 2020-06-07
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $22,794$ on 2020-06-07
Best fit exponential: \(486 \times 10^{0.020t}\) (doubling rate \(15.1\) days)
Start date 2020-03-24 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $664$ on 2020-06-07
Best fit exponential: \(57.5 \times 10^{0.014t}\) (doubling rate \(21.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{905.6}{1 + 10^{-0.024 (t - 60.7)}}\) (asimptote \(905.6\))
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $15,221$ on 2020-06-07
Start date 2020-03-13 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $845$ on 2020-06-07
Best fit exponential: \(257 \times 10^{0.007t}\) (doubling rate \(45.2\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{806.2}{1 + 10^{-0.030 (t - 27.4)}}\) (asimptote \(806.2\))
Start date 2020-03-28 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $23$ on 2020-06-07
Best fit exponential: \(6.68 \times 10^{0.008t}\) (doubling rate \(35.5\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{22.9}{1 + 10^{-0.036 (t - 25.2)}}\) (asimptote \(22.9\))
Start date 2020-03-13 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $92$ on 2020-06-07
